Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.027216 0.029297 0.031387 0.033641 0.036000 0.038393 0.041001
2025-12-07 0.022764 0.025985 0.029341 0.033086 0.037135 0.041369 0.046117
2025-12-14 0.019827 0.023654 0.027753 0.032441 0.037626 0.043160 0.049486
2025-12-21 0.017490 0.021703 0.026324 0.031721 0.037807 0.044412 0.052079
2025-12-28 0.016450 0.021081 0.026261 0.032414 0.039455 0.047196 0.056287
2026-01-04 0.015228 0.020142 0.025742 0.032502 0.040346 0.049074 0.059434
2026-01-11 0.014066 0.019187 0.025129 0.032410 0.040970 0.050600 0.062141
2026-01-18 0.013456 0.018845 0.025195 0.033074 0.042438 0.053068 0.065907
2026-01-25 0.012524 0.018048 0.024666 0.032988 0.042990 0.054451 0.068405
2026-02-01 0.011704 0.017342 0.024205 0.032946 0.043562 0.055832 0.070882
2026-02-08 0.010931 0.016651 0.023724 0.032844 0.044034 0.057075 0.073182
2026-02-15 0.010211 0.015989 0.023246 0.032716 0.044448 0.058230 0.075366
2026-02-22 0.009497 0.015338 0.022800 0.032668 0.045022 0.059657 0.077981
2026-03-01 0.008611 0.014415 0.021980 0.032133 0.044996 0.060375 0.079781
2026-03-08 0.007766 0.013496 0.021117 0.031500 0.044809 0.060870 0.081289
2026-03-15 0.006969 0.012592 0.020230 0.030795 0.044497 0.061183 0.082554
2026-03-22 0.006734 0.012487 0.020408 0.031474 0.045934 0.063643 0.086431
2026-03-29 0.006312 0.012078 0.020151 0.031560 0.046601 0.065147 0.089140
2026-04-05 0.005864 0.011602 0.019776 0.031470 0.047026 0.066339 0.091462
2026-04-12 0.005682 0.011525 0.019955 0.032121 0.048412 0.068736 0.095276
2026-04-19 0.005288 0.011090 0.019605 0.032037 0.048825 0.069903 0.097567
2026-04-26 0.004934 0.010697 0.019297 0.031996 0.049284 0.071121 0.099917
2026-05-03 0.004589 0.010295 0.018959 0.031896 0.049654 0.072220 0.102115